implementation-feasibility.md

May 24, 2026 · View on GitHub

🛠️ Implementation Feasibility Template

📊 Can the Policy Actually Be Delivered — By When, At What Cost, With What Risks?
🎯 Legal · Administrative · Technical · Fiscal · Workforce · Timeline

📋 Document Owner: CEO | 📄 Version: 1.2 | 📅 Last Updated: 2026-04-25 (UTC) 🏢 Owner: Hack23 AB (Org.nr 5595347807) | 🏷️ Classification: Public

📌 Template instructions: Produce this document on every run. If the current bill has concrete delivery obligations (budget line, infrastructure, IT system, procurement, workforce change), assess that bill directly; otherwise, use this template to audit implementation feasibility for the relevant delivery backlog or previously announced measures. Save as analysis/daily/${ARTICLE_DATE}/${DOC_TYPE}/implementation-feasibility.md.

✨ What to produce: A structured feasibility review across six delivery dimensions (Legal, Administrative, Technical, Fiscal, Workforce, Timeline) with evidence and a calibrated overall-feasibility verdict (READY / FEASIBLE / CONSTRAINED / HIGH-RISK / UNLIKELY).

📐 Template Contract — every fill of this template MUST satisfy this row.

Slot Value
Owning methodology per-artifact-methodologies.md
Owning gate check Check 8 (Family D) + Check 9b (Statskontoret evidence) — see 05-analysis-gate.md
Required inputs Statskontoret index, agency capacity, risk-assessment.md
Horizon band mixed (T+30…T+365) (per scripts/horizon-context.ts)
Output family Family D — Electoral & Domain
Aggregation order 20 of 30 in canonical order (see scripts/render-lib/aggregator/order.ts)
Reader Intelligence Guide row generated from implementation-feasibility.md (see scripts/render-lib/aggregator/reader-guide.ts)
Canonical evidence anchor | claim | evidence (dok_id / vote / MP intressent_id / primary-source URL) | retrieved_at | confidence | — every analytical claim row uses this schema.

Cross-reference: README.md §Template ↔ Methodology ↔ Gate-Check Matrix.

Slot	Value
Owning methodology	`per-artifact-methodologies.md`
Owning gate check	Check 8 (Family D) + Check 9b (Statskontoret evidence) — see `05-analysis-gate.md`
Required inputs	Statskontoret index, agency capacity, `risk-assessment.md`
Horizon band	mixed (T+30…T+365) (per `scripts/horizon-context.ts`)
Output family	Family D — Electoral & Domain
Aggregation order	20 of 30 in canonical order (see `scripts/render-lib/aggregator/order.ts`)
Reader Intelligence Guide	row generated from `implementation-feasibility.md` (see `scripts/render-lib/aggregator/reader-guide.ts`)
Canonical evidence anchor	`\| claim \| evidence (dok_id / vote / MP intressent_id / primary-source URL) \| retrieved_at \| confidence \|` — every analytical claim row uses this schema.

🔄 Tradecraft Context

Element	Value
F3EAD Stage	ANALYZE — delivery risk assessment
PIRs Served	PIR-5 (Fiscal Trajectory — budget feasibility), PIR-7 (Democratic Norms — accountability for delivery)
Admiralty Floor	Ministry statements require [B2]; budget figures require [A1] (official appropriation documents)
WEP + ODNI	Delivery-risk scenarios use WEP (likely/unlikely for on-time delivery); confidence MODERATE (ministries rarely disclose implementation challenges publicly)
Source Diversity Floor	P1 (delivery-risk claims): ≥3 sources (budget dok_id + ministry statement + expert assessment); avoid single-ministry-spokesperson claims
SAT(s) Applied	Premortem Analysis (assume failure and explain why), Key Assumptions Check (delivery assumptions)
ICD 203 Standards	2 (uncertainties — delivery risks), 5 (customer relevance — implementation milestones), 6 (logical argumentation)

📋 Feasibility Context

Field	Value
Feasibility ID	`FEA-YYYY-MM-DD-NNN`
Generated	`YYYY-MM-DD HH:MM UTC`
Subject measure	`dok_id and short title`
Responsible ministry / agency	`e.g., Finansdepartementet + Skatteverket`
Statskontoret relevance	`Relevant report/page URL or "none found"`
Declared start date	`YYYY-MM-DD`
Declared completion date	`YYYY-MM-DD`
Budget envelope	`SEK X.Y billion`
Overall verdict	`🟢 READY / 🟢 FEASIBLE / 🟡 CONSTRAINED / 🟠 HIGH-RISK / 🔴 UNLIKELY`

🧭 Feasibility Overview

Rendering note: Mermaid 11 core does not ship the radar diagram type. The canonical fallback below is a graph LR "spoke" chart that conveys the same per-dimension score (1–5) and colour-codes each spoke by traffic-light status. Restore a radar variant only once the renderer enables the plugin and the validator (npm run validate:mermaid) accepts it.

graph LR
    D1["⚖️ Legal<br/>4/5"] --- OUT["🏷️ Overall<br/>🟡 CONSTRAINED"]
    D2["🏛️ Administrative<br/>3/5"] --- OUT
    D3["🖥️ Technical<br/>4/5"] --- OUT
    D4["💰 Fiscal<br/>3/5"] --- OUT
    D5["👷 Workforce<br/>2/5"] --- OUT
    D6["🗓️ Timeline<br/>3/5"] --- OUT

    style D1 fill:#4CAF50,color:#FFFFFF
    style D2 fill:#FFC107,color:#000000
    style D3 fill:#4CAF50,color:#FFFFFF
    style D4 fill:#FFC107,color:#000000
    style D5 fill:#D32F2F,color:#FFFFFF
    style D6 fill:#FFC107,color:#000000
    style OUT fill:#FF9800,color:#FFFFFF

📊 Dimension-by-Dimension Review

⚖️ Legal feasibility — 4/5

Check	Status	Evidence
Constitutional authority (Regeringsformen)	🟢	Within budgetary prerogative
EU compatibility	🟡	State-aid risk flagged; notification path open
Secondary-law impact	🟢	Skattelag amendment required, scheduled
Litigation exposure	🟢	Low

🏛️ Administrative feasibility — 3/5

Statskontoret overlay: administrative-capacity, coordination, backlog, regulatory-burden and efficiency claims should cite Statskontoret first when a relevant public report/page exists. Record URL, report title, publication date, retrieval time and Admiralty grade in data-download-manifest.md.

Check	Status	Evidence
Responsible agency capacity (Skatteverket)	🟡	Prior surcharge adjustment completed in 4 months; validate against relevant Statskontoret report/page where available
Inter-agency coordination (SCB, Tullverket)	🟢	Precedent exists
Guidance-document turnaround	🟡	Normal 90-day cycle
Reporting / auditing	🟢	Standard reports available

🖥️ Technical feasibility — 4/5

Check	Status	Evidence
IT systems change (Skatteverket)	🟢	Tax-rate parameter update
Fuel-monitoring system integration	🟢	Petrol-station price reporting already in place
Data pipeline / reporting	🟢	Existing telemetry
Cyber-risk exposure	🟡	Standard elevated-attention review

💰 Fiscal feasibility — 3/5

Check	Status	Evidence
Budget envelope sufficient	🟡	SEK 2.8 B annualised vs. estimated SEK 2.4 B
Revenue offset identified	🟠	Not explicitly earmarked
Debt-ceiling impact	🟢	Within surplus-target tolerance
Future-year commitments	🟡	Sunset clause at 12 months but renewal risk

👷 Workforce feasibility — 2/5

Check	Status	Evidence
Staff available at Skatteverket	🟠	Existing hiring freeze
Skill mix (policy + IT + call-centre)	🟠	Call-centre surge capacity limited
Contractor routes	🟡	Ramavtal (framework agreements) available but slow
Training needs	🟢	Minimal

🗓️ Timeline feasibility — 3/5

gantt
    title HD03236 Implementation Timeline
    dateFormat YYYY-MM-DD
    section Legal
    FiU committee process    :done,   l1, 2026-04-15, 2026-04-21
    Chamber vote             :active, l2, 2026-04-22, 3d
    SFS publication          :        l3, after l2, 5d
    section Administrative
    Skatteverket guidance    :        a1, 2026-05-01, 30d
    Call-centre scaling      :        a2, 2026-05-15, 45d
    section Technical
    IT parameter update      :        t1, 2026-05-10, 10d
    Price-reporting update   :        t2, 2026-05-20, 14d
    section Effect
    Pump-price drop visible  :milestone, pe, 2026-07-15, 0d

🚦 Critical Dependencies

#	Dependency	Owner	Risk if missed
D1	Chamber vote passes by 2026-04-24	Kammaren	Entire package delayed
D2	SFS publication within 5 days post-vote	Regeringskansliet	Delays IT update
D3	Skatteverket IT parameter change	Skatteverket	Implementation date slips
D4	Call-centre staffing	Skatteverket HR	Citizen complaints surge
D5	EU-Commission non-intervention	Commission	Formal review forces 6-12 m delay

🧯 Risk Register (feasibility-specific)

#	Risk	L	I	Score	Mitigation
FR-1	EU state-aid review opens before SFS	3	5	15	Pre-notify Commission now
FR-2	Call-centre capacity overwhelmed	4	3	12	Activate framework contract
FR-3	Price-reporting integrity issues	2	4	8	Independent pump-price audit
FR-4	Revenue-offset gap breaks surplus target	3	4	12	Identify offset before Q3 budget
FR-5	Workforce gap at Skatteverket	4	3	12	Emergency hiring authorisation

📊 Comparable Delivery Benchmarks

Comparable measure	Delivery time	Outcome
2022 Electricity-price support	6 months to first payment	Delivered but with CRM overload
2019 Reduced VAT on e-books	5 months	On-time, minimal issues
Norway Strømstøtte 2023	3 months	Delivered with price-cap simplification

✅ Verdict and Preconditions

Overall: 🟡 CONSTRAINED — deliverable by declared date only if D1, D3, D4 land on schedule and EU Commission does not intervene.

Precondition	Status	Action required
EU pre-notification submitted	🔴 Not done	Open dialogue this week
Call-centre surge contract triggered	🔴 Not done	Authorise by 2026-05-01
Revenue-offset identified	🔴 Not done	Include in Q3 budget bill

📎 Links

Link	Path
Risk register	`risk-assessment.md`
Scenario analysis	`scenario-analysis.md`
Comparative international	`comparative-international.md`
Per-document analysis	`documents/HD03236-analysis.md`

Document Control

Template path: /analysis/templates/implementation-feasibility.md
Referenced by: ai-driven-analysis-guide.md § Step 5
Classification: Public
Next Review: 2026-07-21

✅ Pass-2 Self-Audit Checklist (v4.4 — required)

Purpose: AI-FIRST principle requires a Pass-2 read-back-and-improve. After producing this artifact in Pass 1, re-read it end-to-end and verify each item below. Document any remediation in methodology-reflection.md §"Pass-2 audit log". Any unchecked ❌ box at the end of Pass 2 forces a Pass-3 rewrite of the affected section.