IMF Indicator ↔ Swedish Policy / Committee Mapping
May 11, 2026 · View on GitHub
Authoritative committee → IMF indicator map. Referenced by
scripts/imf-context.ts, the Step 2.6 prompt of every.github/workflows/news-*.mdworkflow, and the per-committee analysis templates.Companion docs:
README.md·indicators-inventory.json(machine-readable) ·data-dictionary.md·agentic-integration.md·use-cases.md·worldbank/indicator-policy-mapping.md(non-economic residue).
1 · Committee → IMF indicator matrix
Format key: DATABASE:CODE (e.g. WEO:NGDP_RPCH, FM:GGXONLB_NGDP, GFS_COFOG:GF02_T). [projection] flags indicators that publish T+5 projections.
| Committee | Remit | IMF role | Primary indicators | Secondary / supporting |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FiU | Finance — macro & budget | IMF primary | WEO:NGDP_RPCH [proj] (growth) · WEO:PCPIPCH [proj] (inflation) · WEO:NGDPDPC [proj] (GDP per capita) · WEO:GGXWDG_NGDP [proj] (debt/GDP) · WEO:GGXCNL_NGDP [proj] (fiscal balance) · WEO:GGX_NGDP [proj] (expenditure) · FM:GGXONLB_NGDP [proj] (primary balance) | WEO:PPPPC [proj] (GDP per capita PPP) · CPI:_T.IX (monthly CPI) · ER:USD_XDC.PA_RT (SEK/USD) |
| SkU | Taxation | IMF primary | WEO:GGR_NGDP [proj] (revenue/GDP) · FM:GGXONLB_NGDP [proj] (primary balance) · FM:GGSB_NPGDP [proj] (cyclically-adjusted) · WEO:GGXWDG_NGDP [proj] (debt context) | WEO:GGX_NGDP [proj] |
| AU | Labour market | IMF + SCB | WEO:LUR [proj] (unemployment rate) · WEO:LE [proj] (employment) | SCB AKU (preferred for Swedish-specific) · WEO:NGDPDPC [proj] |
| NU | Business & trade | IMF primary | WEO:BCA_NGDPD [proj] (current account) · WEO:TX_RPCH [proj] (exports growth) · WEO:TM_RPCH [proj] (imports growth) · IMTS:XG_FOB_USD (bilateral exports) · IMTS:MG_CIF_USD (bilateral imports) | PCPS:POILAPSP (oil — export competitiveness) |
| UU | Foreign affairs | IMF primary | WEO:BCA_NGDPD [proj] · WEO:TX_RPCH [proj] · IMTS:XG_FOB_USD (partner-country exports) · IMTS:MG_CIF_USD (partner-country imports) | — |
| SoU | Health & welfare | IMF + WB | GFS_COFOG:GF07_T (health spending / GDP) · WEO:LP [proj] (population) · WEO:NGDPDPC [proj] (per-capita context) | WB SH.XPD.CHEX.GD.ZS, SH.MED.PHYS.ZS, SH.MED.BEDS.ZS |
| SfU | Social insurance | IMF + WB | GFS_COFOG:GF10_T (social protection) · WEO:LP [proj] · WEO:LUR [proj] | WB social-residue indicators |
| FöU | Defence | IMF + WB | GFS_COFOG:GF02_T (defence spending / GDP) | WB MS.MIL.XPND.GD.ZS (historical) · MS.MIL.XPND.CD |
| MJU | Environment | WB primary (IMF overlay) | PCPS:POILAPSP (oil — energy transition) · PCPS:PALLFNF (commodity index) | WB EN.ATM.CO2E.PC, EG.FEC.RNEW.ZS, AG.LND.FRST.ZS |
| UbU | Education | IMF + WB | GFS_COFOG:GF09_T (education spending / GDP) | WB SE.XPD.TOTL.GD.ZS, SE.PRM.ENRR, SE.TER.ENRR |
| KU | Constitution / institutions | WB only (WGI) | — | WB CC.EST, RL.EST, VA.EST, GE.EST, RQ.EST, PV.EST (all source=75) |
| JuU | Justice / rule of law | WB only | — | WB VC.IHR.PSRC.P5, IQ.CPA.TRAN.XQ, WGI |
| KrU | Culture | — | — | WB SL.UEM.TOTL.ZS (sector-specific), SM.POP.TOTL |
| TU | Transport | IMF + WB | WEO:NGDP_RPCH [proj] (growth context) | WB IS.ROD.TOTL.KM, IS.RRS.TOTL.KM |
| CU | Civil affairs / housing | IMF + WB | GFS_COFOG:GF10_T | WB housing indicators |
Convention: When IMF and SCB both cover a Swedish indicator (typically unemployment, inflation), IMF is primary for cross-country comparison, SCB is primary for Swedish-specific ground truth. Article commentary may cite both with the methodology difference annotated — see
data-dictionary.md§ 5.5.
2 · Projection horizons
| Indicator | Historical back to | Projection to (WEO Apr-2026 vintage) | Released |
|---|---|---|---|
WEO:NGDP_RPCH | 1980 | 2031 | Apr/Oct |
WEO:NGDPD | 1980 | 2031 | Apr/Oct |
WEO:NGDPDPC | 1980 | 2031 | Apr/Oct |
WEO:PCPIPCH | 1980 | 2031 | Apr/Oct |
WEO:PCPIEPCH | 1980 | 2031 | Apr/Oct |
WEO:LUR | 1980 | 2031 | Apr/Oct |
WEO:LE | 1980 | 2031 | Apr/Oct |
WEO:LP | 1980 | 2031 | Apr/Oct |
WEO:GGXWDG_NGDP | 1995 | 2031 | Apr/Oct |
WEO:GGR_NGDP | 1995 | 2031 | Apr/Oct |
WEO:GGX_NGDP | 1995 | 2031 | Apr/Oct |
WEO:GGXCNL_NGDP | 1995 | 2031 | Apr/Oct |
WEO:BCA_NGDPD | 1980 | 2031 | Apr/Oct |
WEO:TX_RPCH / TM_RPCH | 1980 | 2031 | Apr/Oct |
FM:GGXONLB_NGDP | 2000 | 2031 | Apr/Oct |
FM:GGSB_NPGDP | 2000 | 2031 | Apr/Oct |
CPI:_T.IX | 1950s | — (historical only) | Monthly |
MFS_IR:MMRT_RT_PT_A_PT | 1993 | — | Monthly |
GFS_COFOG:GF02_T/07/09/10 | 1995 | — (T+1 annual) | Annual |
IMTS:XG_FOB_USD | 1980 | — | Monthly |
PCPS:POILAPSP | 1980 | — | Monthly |
3 · How to cite (audit-grade)
Projection (WEO/FM only — must include vintage tag):
"IMF projects Sweden's general government gross debt at 32.4 % of GDP in 2027 (
WEO Apr-2026, GGXWDG_NGDP)."
Historical (WEO/FM — vintage recommended for extraordinary values, optional otherwise):
"Sweden's debt/GDP peaked at 38 % in 2022 (
WEO:GGXWDG_NGDP)."
High-frequency (IFS, MFS_IR, DOTS, PCPS, ER):
"Sweden's HICP reached 109.4 (2010=100) in March 2026 (
CPI:_T.IX, monthly).""Brent crude averaged USD 82/bbl in March 2026 (
PCPS:POILAPSP)."
Bilateral trade (DOTS):
"Swedish goods exports to Russia collapsed 92 % between 2021-Q4 and 2023-Q4 (
IMTS:XG_FOB_USD)."
Never use un-attributed forecast phrasing:
- ❌ "Sweden will grow at 2 % in 2027"
- ❌ "The economy is expected to reach 2 %"
- ✅ "IMF projects Sweden's real GDP growth at 2.3 % in 2027 (
WEO Apr-2026, NGDP_RPCH)"
See banned-phrasings list in .github/aw/ECONOMIC_DATA_CONTRACT.md § 6.
4 · Disambiguation — WEO vs FM for same code
The code GGXWDG_NGDP exists in both WEO and FM, and can differ by up to ~1 pp in the same year due to different cutoff dates and revision policies. Rule:
- Headline macro article → cite WEO:
(WEO Apr-2026, GGXWDG_NGDP) - Debt-sustainability / cyclically-adjusted analysis → cite FM:
(FM Apr-2026, GGXWDG_NGDP)or use FM-exclusive codes likeGGXONLB_NGDP,GGSB_NPGDP.
When both are cited in the same article, always qualify with the database prefix so the audit can reconcile.
5 · Cross-provider coverage — committees with NO IMF primary
- KU (constitution / institutions) — IMF has no governance indicator. WB WGI (
CC.EST,RL.EST,VA.EST,GE.EST,RQ.EST,PV.EST, allsource=75) is authoritative. Commentary is historical only (WGI publishes no projections). - JuU (justice / rule of law) — Same as KU. Plus
VC.IHR.PSRC.P5for homicide rates. - KrU (culture) — IMF does not decompose culture spending. WB sector data or SCB for Swedish cultural budget execution.
- MJU (environment) — WB primary for emissions, renewables, forests. IMF PCPS overlay for commodity-price context in energy-policy articles.
Articles touching these committees will have source.imf: [] in their economic-data.json. This is valid and expected — the validator does not require a non-empty IMF source, only that IMF is consulted first whenever the article class is one IMF covers (macro/fiscal/monetary/external).
6 · Machine-readable lookup
# Human: browse the authoritative committee matrix
cat analysis/imf/indicators-inventory.json | jq '.committeeMatrix'
# Agent: programmatic lookup in TypeScript
import { findImfIndicatorsForCommittee, findImfIndicatorsForDomains } from '../../scripts/imf-context.js';
const forFiU = findImfIndicatorsForCommittee('FiU');
const forDomain = findImfIndicatorsForDomains(['fiscal policy', 'debt']);
7 · Related
README.md· overview + adoption strategyindicators-inventory.json· full machine-readable cataloguedata-dictionary.md· dataflow / dimension / vintage referenceagentic-integration.md· 7-step integration playbookuse-cases.md· canonical article examplesanalysis/methodologies/imf-indicator-mapping.md· authoritative methodology.github/aw/ECONOMIC_DATA_CONTRACT.md· validator contract