Risk_Register.md
June 28, 2026 Β· View on GitHub
π Hack23 AB β Risk Register
Systematic Risk Management Through Comprehensive Assessment
Enterprise-grade Risk Framework Demonstrating Cybersecurity Excellence
π Document Owner: CEO | π Version: 3.9 | π
Last Updated: 2026-06-28 (UTC)
π Review Cycle: Quarterly | β° Next Review: 2026-09-28
π― Purpose Statement
Hack23 AB's risk register demonstrates how systematic risk assessment directly enables both security excellence and informed business decision-making. Our comprehensive risk management framework serves as both operational necessity and client demonstration of our cybersecurity consulting methodologies.
β James Pether SΓΆrling, CEO/Founder
π Scope & Application
This register documents all identified risks affecting Hack23 AB operations, applying the quantitative risk assessment methodology defined in Risk Assessment Methodology. Risk scores are calculated using Risk Score = Probability Γ Impact Γ 100 with comprehensive business impact analysis per our Classification Framework.
π Risk Analytics Dashboard
Next Review: 2026-09-28
π― Executive Risk Summary
| Risk Portfolio Overview | Value | Trend | Target |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Active Risks | 26 | β | 18 |
| Critical Risks | 2 | β | 1 |
| High Risks | 7 | β | 4 |
| Medium Risks | 12 | β | 6 |
| Low Risks | 4 | β | 4 |
| Minimal Risks | 1 | β | 0 |
| Average Risk Score | 185 | β | <150 |
| Total ALE | β¬258K | β | <β¬100K |
π Updated Risk Heat Matrix
%%{init: {'theme': 'base', 'themeVariables': {'primaryColor': '#FFFFFF'}}}%%
graph TB
subgraph "Impact β"
subgraph "6 - Catastrophic"
A6["R-FOUNDER-001<br/>(480)"]
end
subgraph "5 - Critical"
A5["R-MARKET-001<br/>(400)"]
B5["R-CASH-001<br/>(320)<br/>R-CONCENTRATION-001<br/>(320)"]
end
subgraph "4 - High"
B4["R-AWS-001<br/>(240)<br/>R-CYBER-001<br/>(240)<br/>R-AI-LIABILITY-001<br/>(240)<br/>R-CREDIT-001<br/>(240)<br/>R-DISINFO-001<br/>(240)"]
end
subgraph "3 - Moderate"
B3["R-SUPPLIER-001<br/>(180)<br/>R-INCIDENT-001<br/>(180)<br/>R-LEGAL-001<br/>(180)<br/>R-MCP-001<br/>(180)"]
C3["R-IP-001<br/>(160)<br/>R-PROF-LIABILITY-001<br/>(160)<br/>R-SUPPLYCHAIN-001<br/>(160)<br/>R-PROCESS-001<br/>(120)<br/>R-AGENT-002<br/>(120)<br/>R-TAX-001<br/>(120)<br/>R-DDOS-001<br/>(120)<br/>R-GDPR-001<br/>(100)"]
end
subgraph "2 - Low"
D2["R-COMP-001<br/>(80)<br/>R-ACCESS-001<br/>(80)<br/>R-AGENT-001<br/>(80)<br/>R-TECH-001<br/>(60)"]
end
subgraph "1 - Minimal"
B1["R-PHYS-001<br/>(20)"]
end
end
classDef critical fill:#D32F2F,stroke:#D32F2F,stroke-width:3px,color:#fff
classDef high fill:#FF9800,stroke:#F57C00,stroke-width:2px,color:#fff
classDef medium fill:#FFC107,stroke:#F9A825,stroke-width:2px,color:#000
classDef low fill:#4CAF50,stroke:#388E3C,stroke-width:1px,color:#fff
classDef minimal fill:#9E9E9E,stroke:#1565C0,stroke-width:1px,color:#fff
class A6,A5 critical
class B5,B4 high
class B3,C3 medium
class D2 low
class B1 minimal
π Top Strategic Risks (Q2 2026 Review)
π Pentagon Dimension Distribution
Risk portfolio organized by Pentagon of Continuous Improvement dimensions:
| Pentagon Dimension | Risk Count | Example Risks | Avg Score | Priority Multiplier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| π Security | 10 | R-CYBER-001, R-AWS-001, R-AI-LIABILITY-001, R-DISINFO-001, R-MCP-001, R-SUPPLYCHAIN-001, R-DDOS-001, R-SUPPLIER-001, R-INCIDENT-001, R-PHYS-001 | 180 | 2.0Γ |
| π ISMS Controls | 6 | R-FOUNDER-001, R-GDPR-001, R-ACCESS-001, R-AGENT-001, R-AGENT-002, R-TAX-001 | 163 | 2.0Γ |
| π Functionality | 4 | R-MARKET-001, R-CASH-001, R-CREDIT-001, R-CONCENTRATION-001 | 320 | 1.8Γ |
| β¨ Quality | 5 | R-TECH-001, R-PROCESS-001, R-IP-001, R-LEGAL-001, R-PROF-LIABILITY-001 | 136 | 1.5Γ |
| π§ͺ QA | 1 | R-COMP-001 | 80 | 1.3Γ |
Key Insights:
- Highest Priority: Security and ISMS Controls dimensions (2.0Γ multiplier) contain majority of risks
- Business Critical: Functionality dimension contains all revenue-impacting risks (avg score 320)
- Balanced Coverage: All 5 Pentagon dimensions represented, ensuring holistic risk management
- Strategic Alignment: Risk prioritization directly supports Information Security Strategy Pentagon framework
π€ Agent Monitoring Coverage
Automated risk monitoring through curated agent ecosystem:
| Metric | Current Status | Target | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Risks Monitored | 26/26 (100%) | 100% | β Complete |
| Continuous Monitoring (Weekly) | 9 Critical/High risks | All Critical/High | β Achieved |
| Periodic Monitoring (Bi-weekly/Monthly) | 17 Medium/Low/Minimal risks | All Medium/Low | β Achieved |
| Automated Evidence Links | 22/26 (85%) | >80% | β Achieved |
| Agent Triage Accuracy | 94% (validated vs human) | >85% | β Exceeded |
| Pentagon Coverage | 26/26 (100%) | 100% | β Complete |
Agent Assignments by Risk Level:
- Critical Risks (2): ISMS Ninja + Security Architect + Business Dev Specialist (weekly)
- High Risks (7): Specialist agents per Pentagon dimension (weekly)
- Medium Risks (12): Specialist agents per Pentagon dimension (bi-weekly/monthly)
- Low/Minimal Risks (5): Test Specialist + periodic monitoring (quarterly)
Evidence Automation Sources:
- OpenSSF Scorecard: Real-time supply chain security metrics
- GitHub Actions: Automated evidence generation and CI/CD workflows
- SonarCloud: Code quality and security vulnerability scanning
- FOSSA: License compliance and dependency vulnerability tracking
- GitHub Security: Dependabot alerts and secret scanning findings
π Risk Management Workflow
Hack23's risk management process from identification to continuous monitoring, demonstrating systematic risk lifecycle management aligned with ISO 27001 and NIST CSF 2.0.
flowchart TD
START["π Risk Identified<br/>Internal/External Source"] --> ASSESS{"π Risk Assessment<br/>Likelihood Γ Impact Γ 100"}
ASSESS -->|Critical/High<br/>Score > 240| EXTERNAL["π€ External Consultant<br/>Review Required<br/>Independent Validation"]
ASSESS -->|Medium/Low<br/>Score β€ 240| CEO_ASSESS["π¨βπΌ CEO Risk Assessment<br/>Standardized Template<br/>Risk Methodology"]
EXTERNAL --> TREATMENT{"π― Risk Treatment<br/>Decision Point"}
CEO_ASSESS --> TREATMENT
TREATMENT -->|Mitigate| CONTROL["β
Implement Controls<br/>Reduce Likelihood/Impact<br/>Technical & Procedural"]
TREATMENT -->|Accept| ACCEPT["β οΈ Risk Acceptance<br/>Document Justification<br/>CEO Approval Required"]
TREATMENT -->|Transfer| INSURANCE["πΌ Insurance/Partnership<br/>Transfer Risk<br/>Third Party Agreement"]
TREATMENT -->|Avoid| AVOID["π« Avoid Activity<br/>Eliminate Risk Source<br/>Discontinue Operation"]
CONTROL --> REGISTER["π Risk Register<br/>Document & Track<br/>ALE Calculation"]
ACCEPT --> REGISTER
INSURANCE --> REGISTER
AVOID --> REGISTER
REGISTER --> MONITOR["π Quarterly Review<br/>Monitor Effectiveness<br/>Recalculate Risk Score"]
MONITOR -->|Risk Changed<br/>Score Β±20%| ASSESS
MONITOR -->|Control Effective<br/>Score Stable| MAINTAIN["β
Maintain Controls<br/>Annual Deep Review<br/>Documentation Update"]
MAINTAIN --> ANNUAL{"π Annual<br/>Review Cycle"}
ANNUAL --> ASSESS
style START fill:#2196F3,stroke:#1565C0,stroke-width:3px,color:#fff
style ASSESS fill:#FF9800,stroke:#F57C00,stroke-width:3px,color:#fff
style EXTERNAL fill:#7B1FA2,stroke:#4A148C,stroke-width:2px,color:#fff
style CEO_ASSESS fill:#1565C0,stroke:#0D47A1,stroke-width:2px,color:#fff
style TREATMENT fill:#FF9800,stroke:#F57C00,stroke-width:3px,color:#fff
style CONTROL fill:#4CAF50,stroke:#2E7D32,stroke-width:2px,color:#fff
style ACCEPT fill:#FFC107,stroke:#F9A825,stroke-width:2px,color:#000
style INSURANCE fill:#2196F3,stroke:#1565C0,stroke-width:2px,color:#fff
style AVOID fill:#D32F2F,stroke:#B71C1C,stroke-width:2px,color:#fff
style REGISTER fill:#1565C0,stroke:#0D47A1,stroke-width:2px,color:#fff
style MONITOR fill:#7B1FA2,stroke:#4A148C,stroke-width:2px,color:#fff
style MAINTAIN fill:#4CAF50,stroke:#2E7D32,stroke-width:2px,color:#fff
style ANNUAL fill:#FF9800,stroke:#F57C00,stroke-width:2px,color:#fff
Key Takeaways:
- π Risk Identification: Risks identified from internal assessments, external sources, threat intelligence, and incident reviews
- π Assessment Threshold: Critical/High risks (Score > 240) require external consultant review for independent validation
- π― Treatment Options: Four systematic approaches - Mitigate (reduce), Accept (document), Transfer (insurance/partnership), Avoid (eliminate)
- π Risk Register: All risks documented with quantitative scoring using Risk Score = Probability Γ Impact Γ 100
- π Quarterly Monitoring: Continuous effectiveness review with recalculation and re-assessment trigger when score changes Β±20%
- π Annual Deep Review: Comprehensive risk reassessment cycle ensures risks remain relevant and controls effective
Related Documents:
- π Risk Assessment Methodology β Quantitative risk scoring framework
- π·οΈ Classification Framework β Business impact definitions
- π Information Security Policy β Risk management governance
- π€ Third Party Management β Supplier risk assessment
- π¨ Incident Response Plan β Risk event handling
- π Business Continuity Plan β Risk mitigation strategies
π€ AI Agent Risk Monitoring Framework
Hack23 AB's curated agent ecosystem (per Information Security Strategy) provides continuous risk monitoring aligned with the Pentagon of Continuous Improvement framework.
π Continuous Risk Monitoring Architecture
flowchart TD
TASK["π Task Agent<br/>Weekly Analysis"] --> MONITOR["π Risk KPI Monitoring"]
MONITOR --> CHANGE{"π¨ Risk Score<br/>Change > Β±20%?"}
CHANGE -->|Yes| RECALC["π Automated<br/>Score Recalculation"]
CHANGE -->|No| CONTINUE["β
Continue Monitoring"]
RECALC --> CRITICAL{"π΄ Critical Risk?<br/>Score > 400"}
CRITICAL -->|Yes| CEO["π¨βπΌ CEO Immediate<br/>Notification"]
CRITICAL -->|No| UPDATE["π Register<br/>Auto-Update"]
CEO --> REVIEW["π Human Risk<br/>Assessment"]
UPDATE --> EVIDENCE["π Evidence Update<br/>Automated Sources"]
REVIEW --> EVIDENCE
EVIDENCE --> REGISTER["π Risk Register<br/>Synchronized"]
style TASK fill:#2196F3,stroke:#1565C0,stroke-width:2px,color:#fff
style MONITOR fill:#4CAF50,stroke:#2E7D32,stroke-width:2px,color:#fff
style CHANGE fill:#FF9800,stroke:#F57C00,stroke-width:3px,color:#fff
style RECALC fill:#7B1FA2,stroke:#4A148C,stroke-width:2px,color:#fff
style CONTINUE fill:#4CAF50,stroke:#2E7D32,stroke-width:2px,color:#fff
style CRITICAL fill:#FF9800,stroke:#F57C00,stroke-width:3px,color:#fff
style CEO fill:#FFC107,stroke:#F57C00,stroke-width:3px,color:#000
style UPDATE fill:#4CAF50,stroke:#2E7D32,stroke-width:2px,color:#fff
style REVIEW fill:#7B1FA2,stroke:#4A148C,stroke-width:2px,color:#fff
style EVIDENCE fill:#2196F3,stroke:#1565C0,stroke-width:2px,color:#fff
style REGISTER fill:#1565C0,stroke:#0D47A1,stroke-width:2px,color:#fff
π Agent Risk Monitoring Metrics
Continuous Monitoring KPIs:
- Risk Discovery Rate: Agent-identified risks per analysis cycle (target: >60% automation)
- Monitoring Frequency: Weekly automated KPI checks for all Critical/High risks
- Score Recalculation Accuracy: Agent-calculated vs human-validated scores (target: >95% agreement)
- Evidence Automation Rate: Automated evidence links (GitHub Actions, OpenSSF Scorecard, SonarCloud) per risk (target: >80%)
- Pentagon Prioritization Coverage: Risks mapped to Pentagon dimensions (target: 100%)
π Pentagon-Driven Risk Prioritization
Risk scores adjusted by Pentagon dimension priority multipliers per Information Security Strategy:
| Pentagon Dimension | Risk Categories | Priority Multiplier | Agent Monitoring |
|---|---|---|---|
| π Security | R-CYBER-001, R-AWS-001, R-AI-LIABILITY-001, R-SUPPLIER-001, R-INCIDENT-001, R-PHYS-001 | 2.0Γ | Security Architect (weekly) |
| π ISMS Controls | R-FOUNDER-001, R-GDPR-001, R-ACCESS-001, R-AGENT-001, R-AGENT-002, R-TAX-001 | 2.0Γ | ISMS Ninja (weekly) |
| π Functionality | R-MARKET-001, R-CASH-001, R-CREDIT-001, R-CONCENTRATION-001 | 1.8Γ | Business Dev Specialist (weekly) |
| β¨ Quality | R-TECH-001, R-PROCESS-001, R-IP-001, R-LEGAL-001, R-PROF-LIABILITY-001 | 1.5Γ | Code Quality Engineer (bi-weekly) |
| π§ͺ QA | R-COMP-001 | 1.3Γ | Test Specialist (monthly) |
Key Takeaways:
- π€ Automated Monitoring: Task agents perform weekly KPI analysis for all risks in this register
- π¨ Critical Risk Escalation: Risks >400 score trigger immediate CEO notification
- π Evidence Automation: Agents integrate OpenSSF Scorecard, GitHub Actions, and SonarCloud data
- π Pentagon Prioritization: Risk treatment resources allocated by Pentagon dimension multipliers
- π Continuous Improvement: Agent-identified gaps drive quarterly risk register evolution
Related Documents:
- π― Information Security Strategy β Pentagon framework and AI agent ecosystem
- π Risk Assessment Methodology β Agent risk scoring integration
- π€ AI Policy β Agent governance and least-privilege requirements
ποΈ Comprehensive Risk Register
All risks assessed using our Risk Assessment Methodology with quantitative scoring adjusted for current business scale and context.
π Common Risk Controls
Controls implemented across multiple risks (referenced in individual risk entries to reduce repetition):
| Control ID | Control Name | Applies To Risks | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| C-SEC-001 | AWS Security Services | R-AWS-001, R-CYBER-001, R-INCIDENT-001 | 8 active AWS security services: GuardDuty, Security Hub, CloudTrail, Config, Inspector, WAF, Macie, Detective |
| C-SEC-002 | MFA Enforcement | R-CYBER-001, R-ACCESS-001, R-AWS-001 | Multi-factor authentication on all critical accounts |
| C-SEC-003 | Security Scanning | R-CYBER-001, R-TECH-001, R-AGENT-001 | SonarCloud SAST, FOSSA SCA, Dependabot, OpenSSF Scorecard |
| C-DOC-001 | Comprehensive Documentation | R-FOUNDER-001, R-ACCESS-001, R-INCIDENT-001 | All processes documented per Asset Register, quarterly updates |
| C-PARTNER-001 | Partnership Framework | R-FOUNDER-001, R-SUPPLIER-001 | Strategic partner network per Partnership_Framework.md |
| C-BACKUP-001 | Automated Backups | R-AWS-001, R-FOUNDER-001, R-INCIDENT-001 | Multi-region backup systems, 30-day retention |
| C-MONITOR-001 | Security Monitoring | R-CYBER-001, R-AWS-001, R-ACCESS-001, R-INCIDENT-001 | Daily alerts review, weekly vulnerability scanning |
| C-COMP-001 | Compliance Framework | R-GDPR-001, R-TAX-001, R-LEGAL-001 | Privacy Policy, Data Classification, Access Control policies |
| C-INS-001 | Insurance Coverage | R-FOUNDER-001, R-PROF-LIABILITY-001, R-IP-001 | Professional indemnity, cyber insurance evaluation |
| C-SEC-004 | Edge & Availability Protection | R-DDOS-001, R-DISINFO-001, R-AWS-001 | AWS WAF, 5 CloudFront distributions, S3 static hosting, AWS Shield Standard, DNSSEC on 6 domains |
| C-SUPPLY-001 | Supply Chain Integrity | R-SUPPLYCHAIN-001, R-CYBER-001, R-TECH-001 | SLSA Level 3 provenance, signed SBOM (SPDX/CycloneDX), npm package provenance, pinned dependencies |
| C-AI-001 | AI Output Governance | R-MCP-001, R-DISINFO-001, R-AI-LIABILITY-001, R-AGENT-002 | Mandatory human-in-the-loop review, OWASP LLM controls, ISMS context loading, CEO PR approval |
π― Risk Treatment Summary
| Treatment Strategy | Risk Count | Risk IDs | Implementation Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mitigate with Controls | 26 | R-AWS-001, R-CYBER-001, R-GDPR-001, R-SUPPLIER-001, R-IP-001, R-PROCESS-001, R-INCIDENT-001, R-TAX-001, R-TECH-001, R-ACCESS-001, R-AGENT-001, R-AGENT-002, R-PHYS-001, R-CASH-001, R-CREDIT-001, R-CONCENTRATION-001, R-AI-LIABILITY-001, R-COMP-001, R-FOUNDER-001, R-MARKET-001, R-LEGAL-001, R-PROF-LIABILITY-001, R-DISINFO-001, R-MCP-001, R-SUPPLYCHAIN-001, R-DDOS-001 | Technical + procedural controls active |
| Accept with Mitigation | 7 | R-FOUNDER-001, R-MARKET-001, R-LEGAL-001, R-PROCESS-001, R-INCIDENT-001, R-ACCESS-001, R-AGENT-001 | Risk accepted with compensating controls |
| Transfer (Insurance) | 1 | R-PROF-LIABILITY-001 | Professional indemnity coverage active |
π Classification Impact Summary
Common classification patterns across risks (reduces repetition in individual entries):
| Classification Type | High Impact Risks | Moderate Impact Risks | Low Impact Risks |
|---|---|---|---|
| Confidentiality | R-FOUNDER-001 (Extreme), R-CYBER-001 (High), R-IP-001 (High) | R-AWS-001 (Moderate), R-ACCESS-001 (Moderate) | R-PHYS-001 (Low), R-TECH-001 (Low), R-DISINFO-001 (Public) |
| Integrity | R-FOUNDER-001 (Critical), R-CYBER-001 (High), R-GDPR-001 (High), R-DISINFO-001 (High), R-SUPPLYCHAIN-001 (High) | R-AWS-001 (Moderate), R-AGENT-002 (Moderate), R-MCP-001 (Moderate) | R-COMP-001 (Low), R-PHYS-001 (Minimal) |
| Availability | R-FOUNDER-001 (Mission Critical), R-AWS-001 (High), R-CASH-001 (High) | R-CYBER-001 (Moderate), R-SUPPLIER-001 (Moderate), R-DDOS-001 (Moderate) | R-TECH-001 (Low), R-PHYS-001 (Best Effort) |
π΄ Critical Risks (Score: 400-600)
R-FOUNDER-001: Founder Burnout/Incapacitation
Risk: Single founder unable to continue operations | Category: | Pentagon:
π Risk Metrics: Probability 4/5 | Impact 6/5
| Score: 480
| Target: 360 (25% reduction via knowledge transfer)
π° Financial: SLE β¬50K | ARO 0.3 | ALE β¬15K | VaR β¬60K (95% CI, 12mo)
π CIA Impact: Confidentiality | Integrity
| Availability
π‘οΈ Controls: C-DOC-001, C-PARTNER-001, C-BACKUP-001, C-INS-001 | Partnership_Framework.md | Founder_Knowledge_Transfer_Template.md | Partnership_Emergency_Activation_Runbook.md 4-hour RTO
π Treatment: Priority 1: Maintain knowledge transfer (quarterly) | Priority 2: Onboard 2-3 Tier 1 partners | Priority 3: Business continuation insurance | Priority 4: Semi-annual drills
π€ Monitoring: ISMS Ninja + Security Architect (weekly) | Next Review: 2026-09-28 | Owner: CEO
R-MARKET-001: Market Validation Failure
Risk: No market demand for products/services, unable to acquire customers | Category: | Pentagon:
π Risk Metrics: Probability 4/5 | Impact 5/5
| Score: 400
π° Financial: SLE β¬40K | ARO 0.6 | ALE β¬24K | VaR β¬72K (95% CI, 12mo)
π― Strategic Impact: Buyer Power | Competitive Rivalry
π‘οΈ Controls: Market research per Business_Strategy.md | Lean startup MVP | Open source community feedback | Industry networking
π Treatment: Priority 1: Customer development and validation | Priority 2: MVP testing with users | Priority 3: Pivot strategy if needed
π€ Monitoring: Business Dev Specialist (weekly market analysis) | Next Review: 2026-09-28 | Owner: CEO
π High Risks (Score: 200-399)
R-AWS-001: AWS Service Disruption
Risk: AWS service outages affecting applications/data | Category: | Pentagon:
π Risk Metrics: Probability 3/5 | Impact 4/5
| Score: 240
π° Financial: SLE β¬2K | ARO 0.8 | ALE β¬1.6K | VaR β¬4.8K (95% CI, 12mo)
π‘οΈ Controls: C-SEC-001, C-BACKUP-001, C-MONITOR-001 | Multi-AZ deployment | Health check integration
π Treatment: Priority 1: Maintain multi-region architecture | Priority 2: Regular disaster recovery testing | Priority 3: Monitor AWS service health
π€ Monitoring: Security Architect (weekly) | Next Review: 2026-09-28 | Owner: CEO
R-CASH-001: Cash Flow Depletion
Risk: Operating costs (~β¬400/month) exceed revenue with no customers | Category: | Pentagon:
π Risk Metrics: Probability 4/5 | Impact 5/5
| Score: 320
π° Financial: SLE β¬25K | ARO 0.8 | ALE β¬20K | VaR β¬30K (95% CI, 12mo)
π‘οΈ Controls: Monthly costs β¬395 per SUPPLIER.md | Financial monitoring per Business_Strategy.md | Cost optimization
π Treatment: Priority 1: Aggressive customer acquisition | Priority 2: Cost reduction | Priority 3: Alternative revenue streams
π€ Monitoring: Business Dev Specialist (weekly financial analysis) | Next Review: 2026-09-28 | Owner: CEO
R-CYBER-001: Security Breach
Risk: Compromise of development systems or IP theft | Category: | Pentagon:
π Risk Metrics: Probability 3/5 | Impact 4/5
| Score: 240
π° Financial: SLE β¬15K | ARO 0.2 | ALE β¬3K | VaR β¬18K (95% CI, 12mo)
π‘οΈ Controls: C-SEC-001, C-SEC-002, C-SEC-003, C-MONITOR-001 | OpenSSF Scorecard | Open source code reduces IP theft value
π Treatment: Priority 1: Maintain security posture | Priority 2: Regular security assessment | Priority 3: Incident response planning
π€ Monitoring: Security Architect (daily alerts, weekly scans) | Next Review: 2026-09-28 | Owner: CEO
R-AI-LIABILITY-001: AI-Generated Content Liability
Risk: AI-generated content liability (code, policies, advice) - professional negligence, copyright, misinformation | Category: | Pentagon:
π Risk Metrics: Probability 3/5 | Impact 4/5
| Score: 240
π° Financial: SLE β¬80K | ARO 0.2 | ALE β¬16K | VaR β¬120K (95% CI, 12mo) | EU AI Act: General Purpose AI, Limited Risk
π‘οΈ Controls: AI_Policy.md | Human review mandatory per OWASP_LLM_Security_Policy.md | Professional indemnity insurance (evaluating) | Disclaimers, version control, EU AI Act compliance
π Treatment: Priority 1: Secure AI liability insurance | Priority 2: AI output validation procedures | Priority 3: EU AI Act compliance
π€ Monitoring: Security Architect (weekly AI governance) | Next Review: 2026-09-28 | Owner: CEO
R-DISINFO-001: Information Integrity & Election Interference
Risk: Manipulation, poisoning, or weaponization of AI-generated political intelligence (coalition analysis, voting-pattern decoding, risk heat maps) published across Riksdagsmonitor and EU Parliament Monitor β heightened during the Swedish Election 2026 window β via source-data poisoning, SEO/backlink manipulation, deepfake attribution/impersonation, or coordinated misattribution undermining non-partisan credibility | Category: | Pentagon:
π Risk Metrics: Probability 3/5 | Impact 4/5
| Score: 240
π° Financial: SLE β¬30K | ARO 0.3 | ALE β¬9K | VaR β¬45K (95% CI, 12mo)
π CIA Impact: Confidentiality | Integrity
| Availability
π‘οΈ Controls: C-SEC-004, C-AI-001 | Public-data-only architecture with equal treatment of all political groups (non-weaponization by design per Information_Security_Strategy.md) | Human-in-the-loop editorial review | Source provenance validation | DNSSEC + SPF/DKIM/DMARC | Threat_Modeling.md
π Treatment: Priority 1: Swedish Election 2026 information-integrity monitoring playbook | Priority 2: Source-feed integrity validation + anomaly detection | Priority 3: Public transparency/corrections process and backlink monitoring
π€ Monitoring: Security Architect + ISMS Ninja (weekly; daily during election window) | Next Review: 2026-09-28 | Owner: CEO
R-CREDIT-001: Client Payment Default
Risk: Client non-payment or payment delays affecting cash flow | Category: | Pentagon:
π Risk Metrics: Probability 3/5 | Impact 4/5
| Score: 240
π° Financial: SLE β¬60K | ARO 0.3 | ALE β¬18K | VaR β¬90K (95% CI, 12mo)
π‘οΈ Controls: Payment terms 50% upfront per Business_Plan.md | Milestone invoicing | Credit checks >100K SEK | Escalation (30/60 days) | Legal consultation threshold 60 days/>50K SEK
π Treatment: Priority 1: Enforce upfront payment strictly | Priority 2: Factoring/invoice financing for large projects | Priority 3: Client diversification
π€ Monitoring: Business Dev Specialist (weekly payment tracking) | Next Review: 2026-09-28 | Owner: CEO
R-CONCENTRATION-001: Client Concentration Risk
-
π Description: Revenue concentration in 1-2 major clients creating dependency and vulnerability to client loss
-
π Quantitative Risk Assessment:
-
π° Financial Risk Analysis:
- Single Loss Expectancy (SLE): β¬600K (60% of annual revenue target lost)
- Annual Rate of Occurrence (ARO): 0.2 (Client churn realistic in consulting)
- Annual Loss Expectancy (ALE): β¬120K annually
- Value at Risk (95% confidence): β¬800K over 12 months
-
π Business Impact Analysis:
-
π― Strategic Impact:
- Identified in Business Plan Risk Matrix as high priority
- Directly affects business continuity and sustainability
- Limits negotiating leverage and pricing power
-
- Pentagon Priority: 1.8Γ multiplier (high priority - revenue diversification critical)
- Strategic Rationale: Client concentration threatens business functionality through revenue volatility
-
π€ Agent Monitoring:
- Primary Agent: Business Development Specialist (weekly client concentration monitoring)
- Monitoring Frequency: Weekly revenue distribution analysis and client relationship assessment
- Last Agent Check: 2026-03-05
- Next Scheduled Check: 2026-03-12
-
π Automated Evidence:
- Business Strategy: Business_Strategy.md - Client diversification strategy
- Business Plan: Business_Plan.md - Revenue concentration targets
- ISMS Policy Review: Strategic risk control validation (quarterly assessment)
-
π‘οΈ Current Controls:
- Active client diversification strategy per Business Strategy
- Target: No client >40% of revenue by Q4 2026
- Portfolio of 5 business lines reducing dependency
- Strong client relationships and proactive communication
- Continuous pipeline development
-
π Treatment Strategy:
- Priority 1: Aggressive new client acquisition (target 5+ clients by Q4 2026)
- Priority 2: Long-term contracts with staggered renewal dates
- Priority 3: Product revenue diversification (Black Trigram, CIA Compliance Manager)
-
π Monitoring: Agent-Driven Continuous Monitoring: Business Development Specialist weekly concentration analysis | Monthly revenue concentration analysis, quarterly client relationship health checks (agent-tracked)
-
π€ Risk Owner: CEO
-
π Next Review: 2026-09-28
π‘ Medium Risks (Score: 100-199)
R-MCP-001: AI Prompt Injection & Agentic Manipulation
Risk: Indirect prompt injection or tool/data poisoning (OWASP LLM01/LLM05/LLM08) via external parliamentary data ingested by the European Parliament MCP Server and agentic newsroom pipelines, manipulating AI-generated outputs, agent behavior, or causing sensitive-context disclosure (LLM02) | Category: | Pentagon:
π Risk Metrics: Probability 3/5 | Impact 3/5
| Score: 180
π° Financial: SLE β¬10K | ARO 0.2 | ALE β¬2K | VaR β¬15K (95% CI, 12mo)
π‘οΈ Controls: C-AI-001 | OWASP_LLM_Security_Policy.md LLM01/LLM02/LLM05/LLM08 controls | Read-only public data sources | Output validation + mandatory human review | MCP least-privilege per AI_Policy.md | MCP server development security standards
π Treatment: Priority 1: Input/output guardrails on MCP and newsroom pipelines | Priority 2: Prompt-injection test cases in CI | Priority 3: Context isolation and source allow-listing
π€ Monitoring: Security Architect (weekly) | Next Review: 2026-09-28 | Owner: CEO
R-SUPPLYCHAIN-001: Software Supply Chain Compromise
Risk: Compromise of build pipeline, third-party dependencies, or published artifacts (including the cia-compliance-manager npm library; 47 open non-critical Dependabot alerts across 9 repositories) leading to malicious code distribution to downstream consumers | Category: | Pentagon:
π Risk Metrics: Probability 2/5 | Impact 4/5
| Score: 160
π° Financial: SLE β¬40K | ARO 0.15 | ALE β¬6K | VaR β¬60K (95% CI, 12mo)
π‘οΈ Controls: C-SUPPLY-001, C-SEC-003 | SLSA Level 3 provenance + signed SBOM (SPDX/CycloneDX) | npm package provenance | Dependabot + FOSSA + OpenSSF Scorecard | Pinned dependencies | Open_Source_Policy.md, Vulnerability_Management.md
π Treatment: Priority 1: Maintain SLSA Level 3 + signed releases | Priority 2: Triage 47 open Dependabot alerts (<30 target) | Priority 3: Dependency-review gates on all PRs
π€ Monitoring: Security Architect + Code Quality Engineer (weekly) | Next Review: 2026-09-28 | Owner: CEO
R-DDOS-001: DDoS / Availability Attack on Public Platforms
Risk: Volumetric or application-layer DDoS targeting the public platform ecosystem (~19.6M requests/month across 6 domains, 5 CloudFront distributions), particularly politically-motivated attacks during the Swedish Election 2026 window | Category: | Pentagon:
π Risk Metrics: Probability 3/5 | Impact 2/5
| Score: 120
π° Financial: SLE β¬5K | ARO 0.3 | ALE β¬1.5K | VaR β¬7.5K (95% CI, 12mo)
π‘οΈ Controls: C-SEC-004, C-SEC-001 | CloudFront edge caching + S3 static hosting (absorbs volumetric load) | AWS WAF rate-based rules | AWS Shield Standard | Route 53 health checks | Static architecture minimizes origin exposure
π Treatment: Priority 1: Tune WAF rate-based rules | Priority 2: Election-period capacity and monitoring readiness | Priority 3: Evaluate AWS Shield Advanced for the election window
π€ Monitoring: Security Architect (weekly; daily during election window) | Next Review: 2026-09-28 | Owner: CEO
R-GDPR-001: GDPR Compliance Breach (Future Risk)
Risk: Future GDPR non-compliance when processing customer data (activates upon first customer) | Category:
| Pentagon:
π Risk Metrics: Probability 1/5 | Impact 5/5
| Score: 100
π° Financial: SLE β¬100K | ARO 0.01 (current), 0.05 (post-revenue) | ALE β¬1K (current), β¬5K (post-revenue) | VaR β¬10K (95% CI, 12mo)
π‘οΈ Controls: C-COMP-001 | Privacy_Policy.md | Data_Classification_Policy.md | Access_Control_Policy.md | DPO: CEO
π Treatment: Priority 1: Activate GDPR program upon first customer | Priority 2: DPIA before onboarding | Priority 3: Annual audit post-revenue
π€ Monitoring: ISMS Ninja (weekly readiness, daily post-customer) | Activation: First customer (target Q1 2026) | Next Review: 2026-09-28 | Owner: CEO
R-SUPPLIER-001: Critical Supplier Failure
-
π Description: Major supplier (GitHub, SEB, AWS) service disruption
-
π Quantitative Risk Assessment:
-
π° Financial Risk Analysis:
- Single Loss Expectancy (SLE): β¬1K (Development time lost)
- Annual Rate of Occurrence (ARO): 0.4 (Supplier outages periodic)
- Annual Loss Expectancy (ALE): β¬400 annually
- Value at Risk (95% confidence): β¬1.2K over 12 months
-
- Pentagon Priority: 2.0Γ multiplier (highest priority - supplier security critical)
- Strategic Rationale: Critical supplier failure impacts security posture and operational continuity
-
π€ Agent Monitoring:
- Primary Agent: Security Architect (bi-weekly supplier monitoring)
- Monitoring Frequency: Bi-weekly supplier status and security posture review
- Last Agent Check: 2026-03-05
- Next Scheduled Check: 2026-03-19
-
π Automated Evidence:
- Supplier Management: SUPPLIER.md - Supplier security posture tracking
- ISMS Policy Review: Supplier risk control validation (quarterly assessment)
-
π‘οΈ Current Controls:
- Supplier monitoring per Supplier Security Posture
- Multiple suppliers for non-critical services
- Local development environments as backup
-
π Treatment Strategy:
- Priority 1: Maintain backup development capabilities
- Priority 2: Document recovery procedures
- Priority 3: Evaluate alternative suppliers
-
π Monitoring: Agent-Driven Continuous Monitoring: Security Architect bi-weekly supplier analysis | Weekly supplier status review (agent-tracked)
-
π€ Risk Owner: CEO
-
π Next Review: 2026-09-28
R-IP-001: Intellectual Property Theft
-
π Description: Unauthorized use of open source code or proprietary elements
-
π Quantitative Risk Assessment:
-
π° Financial Risk Analysis:
- Single Loss Expectancy (SLE): β¬10K (Competitive advantage loss)
- Annual Rate of Occurrence (ARO): 0.1 (Low due to open source approach)
- Annual Loss Expectancy (ALE): β¬1K annually
- Value at Risk (95% confidence): β¬5K over 12 months
-
- Pentagon Priority: 1.5Γ multiplier (moderate priority - IP protection supporting quality)
- Strategic Rationale: IP protection ensures code quality and competitive advantage
-
π€ Agent Monitoring:
- Primary Agent: Code Quality Engineer (bi-weekly IP monitoring)
- Monitoring Frequency: Bi-weekly IP landscape and license compliance review
- Last Agent Check: 2026-03-05
- Next Scheduled Check: 2026-03-19
-
π Automated Evidence:
- Open Source Policy: Open_Source_Policy.md - IP strategy validation
- FOSSA: Automated license compliance scanning
- ISMS Policy Review: IP control validation (quarterly assessment)
-
π‘οΈ Current Controls:
- Open source IP strategy per Open Source Policy
- Copyright notices and licensing
- FOSSA compliance scanning
-
π Treatment Strategy:
- Priority 1: Continue open source approach
- Priority 2: Monitor for unauthorized use
- Priority 3: Legal consultation if needed
-
π Monitoring: Agent-Driven Continuous Monitoring: Code Quality Engineer bi-weekly IP analysis | Quarterly IP landscape review (agent-tracked)
-
π€ Risk Owner: CEO
-
π Next Review: 2026-09-28
R-PROCESS-001: Simplified Change Management Process
-
π Description: Self-approval bias in change management due to single-person operations. CEO may approve changes without sufficient critical analysis compared to multi-person Change Advisory Board (CAB).
-
π Quantitative Risk Assessment:
-
π° Financial Risk Analysis:
- Single Loss Expectancy (SLE): β¬2K (Change rollback + recovery effort + reputation impact)
- Annual Rate of Occurrence (ARO): 0.2 (Low due to compensating controls)
- Annual Loss Expectancy (ALE): β¬400 annually
- Value at Risk (95% confidence): β¬1.2K over 12 months
-
π Business Impact Analysis:
-
π‘οΈ Current Controls:
- Temporal Separation: 48-hour mandatory reflection period for high-risk changes prevents impulsive decisions
- Automated Security Gates: SAST, SCA, DAST, secret scanning prevent technical errors before deployment
- Enhanced Documentation: Detailed change rationale enables retrospective review and audit
- Quarterly Retrospective: CEO reviews all changes for patterns, errors, or improvement opportunities
- External Audit: Annual validation of change management controls by external auditor
-
π Treatment Strategy:
- Accept with Compensating Controls: Risk accepted due to operational sustainability of single-person company
- Monitoring: Quarterly retrospective review tracks change success rate, rollback frequency, security incidents
- Continuous Improvement: Process updates based on lessons learned from change outcomes
-
π― Risk Acceptance Rationale:
- CEO technical expertise (15+ years cybersecurity, CISM/CISSP) provides strong decision-making foundation
- Temporal separation provides reflection opportunity and prevents impulsive changes
- Automated testing catches technical errors that manual review might miss
- Quarterly retrospective enables pattern detection across all changes
- Business velocity benefit outweighs marginal risk increase
- Heavy multi-person CAB processes would be operationally unsustainable and create compliance theater
-
- Pentagon Priority: 1.5Γ multiplier (moderate priority - process quality supporting excellence)
- Strategic Rationale: Change management quality ensures reliable system evolution
-
π€ Agent Monitoring:
- Primary Agent: Code Quality Engineer (bi-weekly change process monitoring)
- Monitoring Frequency: Bi-weekly change management effectiveness review
- Last Agent Check: 2026-03-05
- Next Scheduled Check: 2026-03-19
-
π Automated Evidence:
- Change Management: Change_Management.md - Process validation and single-person adaptation
- ISMS Policy Review: Change control validation (quarterly assessment)
-
π Related Policy: Change_Management.md - Single-Person Company Adaptation section
-
π Monitoring: Agent-Driven Continuous Monitoring: Code Quality Engineer bi-weekly change process analysis | Quarterly change management retrospective, external audit validation (agent-coordinated)
-
π€ Risk Owner: CEO
-
π Next Review: 2026-09-28
R-INCIDENT-001: Single-Person Incident Response
-
π Description: Delayed response or inadequate expertise in complex security incidents due to single-person operations. CEO may be unavailable, overwhelmed, or lack specialized skills compared to dedicated Incident Response Team (IRT).
-
π Quantitative Risk Assessment:
-
π° Financial Risk Analysis:
- Single Loss Expectancy (SLE): β¬3K (Extended downtime + forensics + recovery + reputation)
- Annual Rate of Occurrence (ARO): 0.3 (Moderate likelihood for cybersecurity company)
- Annual Loss Expectancy (ALE): β¬900 annually
- Value at Risk (95% confidence): β¬2.7K over 12 months
-
π Business Impact Analysis:
-
π‘οΈ Current Controls:
- Automated 24/7 Detection: AWS GuardDuty + Security Hub provide continuous threat monitoring
- ML-Powered Investigation: AWS Detective automates timeline reconstruction and root cause analysis
- Pre-Written Runbooks: Documented response procedures for common incident types (AWS compromise, GitHub breach, supplier failure)
- External Consultant Network: Pre-arranged relationships with IR firms (<4hr response), AWS Enterprise Support (<15min), legal counsel
- Clear Escalation Criteria: Documented triggers for external engagement (>4hr duration, specialized expertise needed, CEO unavailability)
-
π Treatment Strategy:
- Accept with Compensating Controls: Risk accepted as cost of dedicated security team would be disproportionate to current risk exposure
- External Expert Engagement: Pre-arranged incident response consultant relationships for complex incidents
- Continuous Monitoring: Track MTTD (Mean Time to Detection), MTTR (Mean Time to Resolution), external consultant engagement frequency
-
π― Risk Acceptance Rationale:
- CEO cybersecurity expertise (CISM/CISSP, 15+ years) covers most incident types effectively
- AWS automated tools (GuardDuty, Detective, Security Hub) compensate for single-person limitations
- External consultant relationships provide specialized expertise on-demand when needed
- Pre-written runbooks accelerate response without requiring team consultation
- Incident complexity for current Hack23 scope (no customers, limited infrastructure) is manageable
- Cost-benefit analysis: Maintaining dedicated security team = β¬150K+/year vs risk exposure <β¬3K/incident
-
- Pentagon Priority: 2.0Γ multiplier (highest priority - incident response capability critical)
- Strategic Rationale: Effective incident response directly impacts security posture and recovery capability
-
π€ Agent Monitoring:
- Primary Agent: Security Architect (bi-weekly incident response readiness monitoring)
- Monitoring Frequency: Bi-weekly incident response capability and plan review
- Last Agent Check: 2026-03-05
- Next Scheduled Check: 2026-03-19
-
π Automated Evidence:
- Incident Response Plan: Incident_Response_Plan.md - Response procedures and single-person adaptation
- ISMS Policy Review: Incident response control validation (quarterly assessment)
-
π Related Policy: Incident_Response_Plan.md - Single-Person Company Adaptation section
-
π Monitoring: Agent-Driven Continuous Monitoring: Security Architect bi-weekly incident readiness analysis | Monthly KPI review (MTTD, MTTR), quarterly incident analysis, annual tabletop exercise (agent-coordinated)
-
π€ Risk Owner: CEO
-
π Next Review: 2026-09-28
R-LEGAL-001: Contract Disputes/Enforcement
-
π Description: Legal disputes arising from contract terms, unclear scope, or unenforceable clauses
-
π Quantitative Risk Assessment:
-
π° Financial Risk Analysis:
- Single Loss Expectancy (SLE): β¬30K (Legal defense + settlement)
- Annual Rate of Occurrence (ARO): 0.2 (Disputes possible in consulting)
- Annual Loss Expectancy (ALE): β¬6K annually
- Value at Risk (95% confidence): β¬45K over 12 months
-
π Business Impact Analysis:
-
- Pentagon Priority: 1.5Γ multiplier (moderate priority - contract quality supporting business operations)
- Strategic Rationale: Contract quality ensures clear business relationships and dispute prevention
-
π€ Agent Monitoring:
- Primary Agent: Business Development Specialist (monthly contract review)
- Monitoring Frequency: Monthly contract quality and compliance review
- Last Agent Check: 2026-03-05
- Next Scheduled Check: 2026-04-05
-
π Automated Evidence:
- Business Plan: Business_Plan.md - Contract templates and legal budget
- ISMS Policy Review: Contract management control validation (quarterly assessment)
-
π‘οΈ Current Controls:
- Standard contract templates per Business Plan
- Budget allocated (5K SEK) for legal review
- Clear scope documentation practices
- Change order procedures
- FΓΆretagarna/Almega template usage
-
π Treatment Strategy:
- Priority 1: Legal review of contract templates (budgeted 5K SEK)
- Priority 2: Detailed SOW templates with clear acceptance criteria
- Priority 3: Insurance coverage evaluation
-
π Monitoring: Agent-Driven Continuous Monitoring: Business Dev Specialist monthly contract analysis | Quarterly contract review, legal consultation as needed (agent-tracked)
-
π€ Risk Owner: CEO
-
π Next Review: 2026-09-28
R-PROF-LIABILITY-001: Professional Indemnity Claims
-
π Description: Professional liability claims arising from consulting advice or implementation errors
-
π Quantitative Risk Assessment:
-
π° Financial Risk Analysis:
- Single Loss Expectancy (SLE): β¬150K (Legal defense + settlement + reputation recovery)
- Annual Rate of Occurrence (ARO): 0.05 (Low with experience and controls)
- Annual Loss Expectancy (ALE): β¬7.5K annually
- Value at Risk (95% confidence): β¬180K over 12 months
-
π Business Impact Analysis:
-
- Pentagon Priority: 1.5Γ multiplier (moderate priority - professional quality critical for reputation)
- Strategic Rationale: Professional indemnity management ensures service quality and client trust
-
π€ Agent Monitoring:
- Primary Agent: Business Development Specialist (monthly professional standards monitoring)
- Monitoring Frequency: Monthly professional liability and insurance status review
- Last Agent Check: 2026-03-05
- Next Scheduled Check: 2026-04-05
-
π Automated Evidence:
- Information Security Policy: Information_Security_Policy.md - Professional standards adherence
- ISMS Policy Review: Professional liability control validation (quarterly assessment)
-
π‘οΈ Current Controls:
- 30+ years professional experience
- Comprehensive ISMS implementation demonstrating expertise
- Professional standards adherence per Information Security Policy
- Documented methodologies and best practices
- Clear limitation of liability clauses in contracts
- Professional indemnity insurance under evaluation
-
π Treatment Strategy:
- Priority 1: Secure professional indemnity insurance (target: Q1 2026)
- Priority 2: Peer review for high-risk recommendations
- Priority 3: Comprehensive engagement documentation
-
π Monitoring: Agent-Driven Continuous Monitoring: Business Dev Specialist monthly professional standards analysis | Quarterly insurance coverage review, annual policy renewal (agent-tracked)
-
π€ Risk Owner: CEO
-
π Next Review: 2026-09-28
R-TAX-001: Tax Compliance Failures
-
π Description: Errors in VAT, payroll tax, or corporate tax filings leading to penalties and interest
-
π Quantitative Risk Assessment:
-
π° Financial Risk Analysis:
- Single Loss Expectancy (SLE): β¬20K (Penalties + interest + correction costs)
- Annual Rate of Occurrence (ARO): 0.15 (Tax errors possible despite support)
- Annual Loss Expectancy (ALE): β¬3K annually
- Value at Risk (95% confidence): β¬30K over 12 months
-
π Business Impact Analysis:
-
- Pentagon Priority: 2.0Γ multiplier (highest priority - tax compliance critical ISMS control)
- Strategic Rationale: Tax compliance ensures regulatory adherence and organizational sustainability
-
π€ Agent Monitoring:
- Primary Agent: ISMS Ninja (monthly tax compliance monitoring)
- Monitoring Frequency: Monthly tax compliance and filing status review
- Last Agent Check: 2026-03-05
- Next Scheduled Check: 2026-04-05
-
π Automated Evidence:
- Accounting System: Fortnox digital accounting and tax tracking
- ISMS Policy Review: Tax compliance control validation (quarterly assessment)
-
π‘οΈ Current Controls:
- External accountant/bookkeeper engaged
- Quarterly tax review meetings
- Skatteverket guidance consultation
- Digital accounting system (Fortnox)
- Regular reconciliation processes
-
π Treatment Strategy:
- Priority 1: Maintain quarterly accountant reviews
- Priority 2: Skatteverket proactive guidance requests
- Priority 3: Tax compliance training/updates
-
π Monitoring: Agent-Driven Continuous Monitoring: ISMS Ninja monthly tax compliance analysis | Quarterly tax compliance review, annual external audit (agent-tracked)
-
π€ Risk Owner: CEO
-
π Next Review: 2026-09-28
π’ Low Risks (Score: 50-99)
R-COMP-001: Competitive Market Entry
-
π Description: New competitors entering targeted market segments
-
π Quantitative Risk Assessment:
-
π° Financial Risk Analysis:
- Single Loss Expectancy (SLE): β¬2K (Increased marketing costs)
- Annual Rate of Occurrence (ARO): 0.5 (Competition likely)
- Annual Loss Expectancy (ALE): β¬1K annually
- Value at Risk (95% confidence): β¬3K over 12 months
-
- Pentagon Priority: 1.3Γ multiplier (standard priority - competitive analysis supporting market validation)
- Strategic Rationale: Competitive monitoring ensures market positioning and quality assurance
-
π€ Agent Monitoring:
- Primary Agent: Test Specialist (monthly competitive analysis)
- Monitoring Frequency: Monthly competitive landscape and market position review
- Last Agent Check: 2026-03-05
- Next Scheduled Check: 2026-04-05
-
π Automated Evidence:
- Marketing Strategy: Marketing_Strategy.md - Unique positioning validation
- ISMS Policy Review: Competitive analysis control validation (quarterly assessment)
-
π‘οΈ Current Controls:
- Unique positioning per Marketing Strategy
- Open source differentiation
- Cultural authenticity (Black Trigram)
-
π Treatment Strategy:
- Priority 1: Focus on unique differentiators
- Priority 2: Build community early
- Priority 3: Monitor competitive landscape
-
π Monitoring: Agent-Driven Continuous Monitoring: Test Specialist monthly competitive analysis | Monthly competitive landscape review (agent-tracked)
-
π€ Risk Owner: CEO
-
π Next Review: 2026-09-28
R-TECH-001: Technology Obsolescence
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π Description: Current technology stack becoming outdated
-
π Quantitative Risk Assessment:
-
π° Financial Risk Analysis:
- Single Loss Expectancy (SLE): β¬3K (Modernization effort)
- Annual Rate of Occurrence (ARO): 0.2 (Gradual evolution)
- Annual Loss Expectancy (ALE): β¬600 annually
- Value at Risk (95% confidence): β¬1.8K over 12 months
-
- Pentagon Priority: 1.5Γ multiplier (moderate priority - technology quality supporting long-term excellence)
- Strategic Rationale: Technology currency ensures code quality and maintainability
-
π€ Agent Monitoring:
- Primary Agent: Code Quality Engineer (bi-weekly technology stack monitoring)
- Monitoring Frequency: Bi-weekly technology stack and dependency review
- Last Agent Check: 2026-03-05
- Next Scheduled Check: 2026-03-19
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π Automated Evidence:
- Asset Register: Asset_Register.md - Modern AWS stack validation
- Dependabot: Automated dependency updates and security patches
- ISMS Policy Review: Technology stack control validation (quarterly assessment)
-
π‘οΈ Current Controls:
- Modern AWS stack per Asset Register
- Regular technology reviews
- Cloud-native architecture
-
π Treatment Strategy:
- Priority 1: Stay current with major updates
- Priority 2: Plan gradual migrations
- Priority 3: Avoid cutting-edge technologies
-
π Monitoring: Agent-Driven Continuous Monitoring: Code Quality Engineer bi-weekly technology analysis | Quarterly technology assessment (agent-tracked)
-
π€ Risk Owner: CEO
-
π Next Review: 2026-09-28
R-ACCESS-001: Single-Person Access Administration
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π Description: Self-review bias and excessive permissions in access administration due to single-person operations. CEO acts as access provisioner, reviewer, and primary user without independent validation.
-
π Quantitative Risk Assessment:
-
π° Financial Risk Analysis:
- Single Loss Expectancy (SLE): β¬1.5K (Unauthorized access incident + remediation + reputation)
- Annual Rate of Occurrence (ARO): 0.15 (Low due to automated monitoring)
- Annual Loss Expectancy (ALE): β¬225 annually
- Value at Risk (95% confidence): β¬675 over 12 months
-
π Business Impact Analysis:
-
π‘οΈ Current Controls:
- AWS IAM Access Analyzer: Continuous automated analysis of access permissions, unused access detection, external access monitoring
- Quarterly CEO Self-Review: Systematic review using IAM Access Analyzer findings dashboard
- External Annual Audit: Independent auditor validates access control effectiveness and least privilege compliance
- Complete Audit Trail: AWS CloudTrail + GitHub Audit Log provide tamper-evident access change history
- Automated Alerts: Real-time notifications for suspicious access patterns, policy changes, external sharing
-
π Treatment Strategy:
- Accept with Automated Compensating Controls: Risk accepted due to automated tool superiority over manual review
- Continuous Monitoring: AWS IAM Access Analyzer provides real-time analysis exceeding quarterly human review
- External Validation: Annual auditor review provides independent human oversight
-
π― Risk Acceptance Rationale:
- Automated superiority: AWS IAM Access Analyzer continuous monitoring exceeds quarterly human review effectiveness
- Machine independence: Automated tool provides independent validation without human bias
- Limited scope: Single-user environment (CEO only) has minimal access control complexity
- External validation: Annual auditor review provides independent human oversight
- Complete audit trail: CloudTrail + GitHub logs enable retrospective forensic review
- Cost-benefit: Dedicated security team (β¬80K+/year) disproportionate to risk for single-person company
-
- Pentagon Priority: 2.0Γ multiplier (highest priority - access control critical ISMS requirement)
- Strategic Rationale: Access administration ensures least privilege and security posture integrity
-
π€ Agent Monitoring:
- Primary Agent: ISMS Ninja (weekly access control monitoring)
- Monitoring Frequency: Weekly IAM Access Analyzer findings review and access validation
- Last Agent Check: 2026-03-05
- Next Scheduled Check: 2026-03-12
-
π Automated Evidence:
- Access Control Policy: Access_Control_Policy.md - Single-person adaptation and automated controls
- AWS IAM Access Analyzer: Real-time permission analysis and compliance validation
- ISMS Policy Review: Access control validation (quarterly assessment)
-
π Related Policy: Access_Control_Policy.md - Single-Person Company Adaptation section
-
π Monitoring: Agent-Driven Continuous Monitoring: ISMS Ninja weekly access control analysis | Real-time IAM Access Analyzer findings, quarterly CEO review, annual external audit (agent-coordinated)
-
π€ Risk Owner: CEO
-
π Next Review: 2026-09-28
R-AGENT-001: Misconfigured Curator-Agent Permissions
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π Description: Curator-agent misconfiguration could widen agent permissions or bypass security checks, allowing agents to modify security controls or access sensitive data inappropriately.
-
π Quantitative Risk Assessment:
-
π° Financial Risk Analysis:
- Single Loss Expectancy (SLE): β¬2K (Incident response + configuration remediation + audit)
- Annual Rate of Occurrence (ARO): 0.10 (Unlikely due to multiple control layers)
- Annual Loss Expectancy (ALE): β¬200 annually
- Value at Risk (95% confidence): β¬600 over 12 months
-
π Business Impact Analysis:
-
π‘οΈ Current Controls:
- CEO Approval Requirement: All curator-agent changes require CEO or security owner review and approval via PR
- Automated YAML Validation: CI checks validate agent configuration syntax and structure
- Security Pattern Detection: Automated scanning forbids overly permissive patterns (e.g.,
tools: ["*"]) - PR Review Workflow: All agent configuration changes subject to pull request review before merge
- Change Control Integration: Agent configs treated as configuration items per Change Management
-
π Treatment Strategy:
- Mitigate via Layered Controls: Multiple control layers reduce probability and impact
- Continuous Monitoring: Quarterly agent ecosystem review per
.github/agents/README.mdmaintenance schedule - Policy Alignment Validation: Agent profiles verified to load ISMS-PUBLIC context
-
π― Risk Acceptance Rationale:
- Multiple control layers: CEO approval + automated validation + PR review + CI gates
- Limited scope: Agents generate proposals, not authoritative changes; CI/CD gates enforce security
- Audit trail: Complete git history and PR review records enable forensic analysis
- Quarterly review: Regular ecosystem assessment identifies configuration drift
-
- Pentagon Priority: 2.0Γ multiplier (highest priority - AI agent governance critical ISMS control)
- Strategic Rationale: Curator-agent permission management ensures AI governance and security posture
-
π€ Agent Monitoring:
- Primary Agent: ISMS Ninja (weekly agent configuration monitoring)
- Monitoring Frequency: Weekly agent permission and configuration validation
- Last Agent Check: 2026-03-05
- Next Scheduled Check: 2026-03-12
-
π Automated Evidence:
- AI Policy: AI_Policy.md - AI agent ecosystem and curator governance
- CI Validation: Automated YAML and security pattern validation
- ISMS Policy Review: AI governance control validation (quarterly assessment)
-
π Related Policy: AI_Policy.md - AI Agent Ecosystem & Curator Governance section
-
π Monitoring: Agent-Driven Continuous Monitoring: ISMS Ninja weekly agent configuration analysis | Automated CI validation, CEO approval tracking, quarterly agent review, PR metrics (agent-coordinated)
-
π€ Risk Owner: CEO
-
π Next Review: 2026-09-28
R-AGENT-002: AI-Generated Policy Contradictions
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π Description: Agents could generate policies, procedures, or configurations that contradict ISMS requirements or introduce security gaps, creating compliance violations or weakening security posture.
-
π Quantitative Risk Assessment:
-
π° Financial Risk Analysis:
- Single Loss Expectancy (SLE): β¬3K (Compliance remediation + audit findings + policy correction)
- Annual Rate of Occurrence (ARO): 0.15 (Unlikely due to human review gates)
- Annual Loss Expectancy (ALE): β¬450 annually
- Value at Risk (95% confidence): β¬1.35K over 12 months
-
π Business Impact Analysis:
-
π‘οΈ Current Controls:
- ISMS Authoritative Principle: Policy clearly states ISMS documents are authoritative; agents draft only
- CEO Review Requirement: All policy file changes require CEO review and explicit approval
- Version Control: Explicit versioning and approval workflows for all ISMS documents
- Agent Context Loading: Agents required to load ISMS-PUBLIC as mandatory context before generating proposals
- PR-Based Workflow: All agent outputs subject to human review before merge
-
π Treatment Strategy:
- Mitigate via Human Oversight: Human review as final gate for all policy changes
- ISMS as Single Source of Truth: Clear hierarchy with ISMS documents authoritative over agent outputs
- Continuous Validation: Quarterly compliance checklist verification per Compliance_Checklist.md
-
π― Risk Acceptance Rationale:
- Human final authority: CEO reviews all policy changes; agents cannot bypass approval
- Clear hierarchy: ISMS explicitly defined as authoritative over agent proposals
- PR workflow: Standard pull request review catches contradictions before merge
- Agent training: Agents explicitly instructed to load ISMS context and follow established policies
-
π Related Policy: AI_Policy.md - AI Agent Ecosystem & Curator Governance section, Change_Management.md - AI Agent Configuration Governance
-
π Monitoring: Policy change review, quarterly compliance validation, agent output quality assessment
-
π€ Risk Owner: CEO
-
π Next Review: 2026-09-28
βͺ Minimal Risks (Score: 1-49)
R-PHYS-001: Physical Security
-
π Description: Physical access to home office or equipment theft
-
π Quantitative Risk Assessment:
-
π° Financial Risk Analysis:
- Single Loss Expectancy (SLE): β¬2K (Equipment replacement)
- Annual Rate of Occurrence (ARO): 0.05 (Very unlikely)
- Annual Loss Expectancy (ALE): β¬100 annually
- Value at Risk (95% confidence): β¬300 over 12 months
-
- Pentagon Priority: 2.0Γ multiplier (highest priority - physical security supporting overall security posture)
- Strategic Rationale: Physical security ensures equipment and data protection
-
π€ Agent Monitoring:
- Primary Agent: Security Architect (quarterly physical security monitoring)
- Monitoring Frequency: Quarterly physical security and equipment status review
- Last Agent Check: 2026-06-28
- Next Scheduled Check: 2026-09-28
-
π Automated Evidence:
- Device Encryption: Full disk encryption status validation
- Backup Status: Cloud backup verification
- ISMS Policy Review: Physical security control validation (annual assessment)
-
π‘οΈ Current Controls:
- Full disk encryption
- Cloud-native operations
- Regular backups
-
π Treatment Strategy:
- Priority 1: Maintain current controls
- Priority 2: Ensure insurance coverage
- Priority 3: Remote wipe capabilities
-
π Monitoring: Agent-Driven Continuous Monitoring: Security Architect quarterly physical security analysis | Annual security review (agent-tracked)
-
π€ Risk Owner: CEO
-
π Next Review: 2026-09-28
π― Risk Treatment Summary
π Treatment Strategy Distribution
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pie title Risk Treatment Strategies
"Mitigate (69%)" : 18
"Accept w/Controls (27%)" : 7
"Transfer (4%)" : 1
"Avoid (0%)" : 0
π― Risk Treatment Actions Status
| Priority | Total | Completed | In Progress | Planning | Overdue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| High | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| Medium | 12 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| Low | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Minimal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| TOTAL | 26 | 6 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
π Risk Treatment Effectiveness Metrics
| Metric | Current | Target | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| On-time Completion Rate | 94% | >95% | β οΈ |
| Budget Adherence | 87% | >90% | β οΈ |
| Risk Reduction Achieved | 78% | >80% | β οΈ |
| Control Implementation | 85% | >90% | β οΈ |
π Risk Monitoring & Review
π Review Schedule
| Review Type | Frequency | Next Due | Participants |
|---|---|---|---|
| Executive Risk Review | Monthly | 2026-07-28 | CEO |
| Quarterly Risk Assessment | Quarterly | 2026-09-28 | CEO |
| Annual Risk Strategy | Annual | 2027-06-28 | CEO |
| Incident-Based Review | As needed | N/A | CEO |
π Key Risk Indicators (KRIs)
| KRI | Current | Threshold | Trend | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AWS Outage Frequency | 0.8/month | >1/month | β | β |
| Security Incident Count | 0 | >3/quarter | β | β |
| Supplier Dependency Ratio | 85% | >90% | β | β |
| Cash Flow Ratio | 3.2 months | <2 months | β | β |
| Backup Success Rate | 99.8% | <98% | β | β |
| Compliance Score | 94% | <90% | β | β |
π― Risk Appetite Statement
Hack23 AB maintains a conservative-to-moderate risk appetite:
- Critical Risks: Zero tolerance - immediate action required
- High Risks: Low tolerance - senior management oversight required
- Medium Risks: Moderate tolerance - active management with defined controls
- Low Risks: Higher tolerance - standard controls with monitoring
- Minimal Risks: Accept with periodic review
Total Risk Portfolio Target: β€18 active risks with average score <150
π AI Model Evolution β Risk Perspective (2026β2037)
Assumptions: AI model upgrades occur multiple times per year (2026 observed: Opus 4.6β4.7β4.8, Sonnet 4.6, plus the new Mythos and Fable 5 model families β seven releases FebruaryβJune, with further Opus 4.9/4.x and model-family updates expected in H2 2026); competitors (OpenAI, Google, Meta, EU sovereign AI) evaluated at each release. Architecture accommodates potential paradigm shifts (quantum AI, neuromorphic computing). Full cross-perspective analysis in Information Security Strategy Β§ AI Model Evolution Strategy.
β οΈ AI Evolution Risk Impact Matrix
| Risk Category | 2026β2027 Exposure | 2028β2030 Exposure | 2031β2037 Exposure | Treatment Strategy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI Model Vendor Lock-in | Medium β Single primary provider dependency | High β Deeper integration increases switching cost | Critical β AGI-era dependencies may be irreversible | Model-agnostic architecture, annual competitor evaluation per AI Policy |
| AI-Powered Threat Escalation | Medium β AI-enhanced phishing, automated attacks | High β AI-generated zero-days, deepfake social engineering | Very High β AGI-enabled autonomous attacks | Progressive security control evolution, AI defense matching attack sophistication |
| AI Governance & Regulatory | Medium β EU AI Act compliance gap risk | High β Expanding global AI regulation complexity | Very High β Pre-AGI/AGI regulatory uncertainty | Continuous compliance monitoring, regulatory horizon scanning |
| AI Model Accuracy/Hallucination | Medium β Incorrect code suggestions, false security findings | Medium β Model improvements begin reducing errors | Low β Near-expert accuracy in most domains | Human oversight requirement, output validation per AI Policy |
| AI Paradigm Disruption | Low β Current architecture handles incremental upgrades | Medium β Quantum AI may obsolete current approaches | High β Neuromorphic/AGI may require fundamental architecture redesign | Annual architecture review, paradigm shift readiness assessment |
| AI Competitive Advantage Erosion | Low β Early adopter advantage maintained | Medium β Competitors catch up as AI democratizes | High β AI levels playing field, differentiation shifts to data/process | Continuous innovation, proprietary workflow/data advantage building |
π Risk Treatment Evolution Through AI Advancement
| Current Risk | AI Impact on Treatment | Projected Score Change |
|---|---|---|
| R-FOUNDER-001 (Single-person dependency, Score: 480) | AI agents progressively automate critical functions, reducing human dependency | 480 β 300 (2027) β 200 (2030) β 120 (2033) |
| R-MARKET-001 (Large competitor entry, Score: 400) | AI enables enterprise-grade delivery from sole proprietor, maintaining differentiation | 400 β 320 (2027) β 250 (2030) as AI amplifies capabilities |
| R-CASH-001 (Cash flow, Score: 320) | AI-driven revenue acceleration across all 5 business lines | 320 β 220 (2027) β 130 (2030) with scaling revenue |
| R-CYBER-001 (Security incident, Score: 240) | AI-enhanced threat detection and automated response reduces incident probability | 240 β 180 (2027) β 120 (2030) with autonomous security operations |
Governance: AI risk assessment integrated into quarterly review cycle. Annual AI model evaluation cadence per AI Policy Β§ AI Model Evolution Evaluation Framework.
π Methodology Note: Projected risk score reductions assume successful AI model evolution per the AI Policy evaluation framework, with scores recalculated using the standard Likelihood Γ Impact matrix in Risk Assessment Methodology. Actual scores will be validated through quarterly risk reviews. New AI-specific risks (vendor lock-in, model availability, paradigm disruption) are tracked separately in the AI Evolution Risk Impact Matrix above.
π Related Documents
π― Strategic & Governance
- π― Information Security Strategy - Pentagon of Continuous Improvement framework, AI-first operations, and strategic roadmap
- π Information Security Policy - Security governance, AI-First Operations Governance, and risk management framework
- π·οΈ Classification Framework - Impact level definitions and business analysis matrix
- π Risk Assessment Methodology - Quantitative assessment framework
π» Asset & Supplier Management
- π» Asset Register - Asset-based risk assessment and inventory
- π Supplier Security Posture - Third-party risk management and SLA tracking
- π€ Third Party Management - Supplier governance framework
- π€ Partnership Framework - Strategic partner risk mitigation
π Business Continuity & Response
- π Business Continuity Plan - Risk response and continuity procedures
- π Disaster Recovery Plan - Technical recovery procedures
- π¨ Incident Response Plan - Risk event management and escalation
- πΎ Backup Recovery Policy - Data protection and recovery
π Metrics & Compliance
- π Security Metrics - Risk-related KPI tracking
- π ISMS Metrics Dashboard - Policy health and review tracking
- β Compliance Checklist - Regulatory compliance status
- π€ AI Policy - AI agent risk governance
π Document Control:
β
Approved by: James Pether SΓΆrling, CEO
π€ Distribution: CEO, External Risk Advisor, Insurance Company
π·οΈ Classification:
π
Effective Date: 2026-06-28
β° Next Review: 2026-09-28
π― Framework Compliance: